Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.546530 3.879914 4.268927 4.767768 5.409439 6.238632 7.455991
2025-01-12 3.037778 3.412731 3.878545 4.526357 5.457842 6.866262 9.521653
2025-01-19 2.766508 3.158848 3.665898 4.410648 5.573150 7.579785 12.528003
2025-01-26 2.674056 3.108726 3.696279 4.617942 6.220479 9.608181 25.025689
2025-02-02 2.643656 3.130727 3.821094 4.987503 7.311332 14.107293 NaN
2025-02-09 2.561177 3.068444 3.809706 5.127141 8.038209 19.936886 NaN
2025-02-16 2.488826 3.011482 3.795778 5.255454 8.832959 32.821973 NaN
2025-02-23 2.403375 2.926930 3.726474 5.262254 9.327905 61.207781 NaN
2025-03-02 2.334008 2.860229 3.677716 5.298582 9.962684 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.265070 2.788878 3.613329 5.289213 10.462591 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.171951 2.675206 3.468116 5.083063 10.097100 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.150016 2.669283 3.505840 5.286009 11.623271 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.049234 2.543775 3.340156 5.033371 11.043850 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 1.953184 2.422164 3.175293 4.767680 10.317841 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 1.884679 2.340277 3.074629 4.638882 10.226223 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 1.871619 2.343925 3.123898 4.870351 12.349113 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 1.878436 2.379044 3.233178 5.286403 17.496419 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.853940 2.361600 3.242642 5.444764 22.065772 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.829356 2.342372 3.246563 5.590850 29.275778 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.793845 2.302988 3.207527 5.598607 35.059975 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.763643 2.271024 3.180662 5.640074 46.470943 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.731139 2.233671 3.140164 5.629375 60.177991 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.682480 2.167205 3.037072 5.394706 46.079332 NaN NaN